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dc.contributor.authorBrunello, Gabriel Hideki Vatanabe-
dc.contributor.authorNakano, Eduardo Yoshio-
dc.date.accessioned2026-05-11T10:36:59Z-
dc.date.available2026-05-11T10:36:59Z-
dc.date.issued2024-06-12-
dc.identifier.citationBRUNELLO, Gabriel Hideki Vatanabe; NAKANO, Eduardo Yoshio. A Bayesian measure of model accuracy. Entropy, [S. l.], v. 26, n. 6, 510, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/e26060510. Disponível em: https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/26/6/510. Acesso em: 8 mai. 2026pt_BR
dc.identifier.urihttp://repositorio.unb.br/handle/10482/54345-
dc.language.isoengpt_BR
dc.publisherMDPIpt_BR
dc.rightsAcesso Abertopt_BR
dc.titleA Bayesian measure of model accuracypt_BR
dc.typeArtigopt_BR
dc.subject.keywordInferência bayesianapt_BR
dc.subject.keywordQualidade de ajustept_BR
dc.subject.keywordModelo de regressãopt_BR
dc.rights.license© 2024 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ 4.0/)pt_BR
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3390/e26060510pt_BR
dc.description.abstract1Abstract Ensuring that the proposed probabilistic model accurately represents the problem is a critical step in statistical modeling, as choosing a poorly fitting model can have significant repercussions on the decision-making process. The primary objective of statistical modeling often revolves around predicting new observations, highlighting the importance of assessing the model’s accuracy. However, current methods for evaluating predictive ability typically involve model comparison, which may not guarantee a good model selection. This work presents an accuracy measure designed for evaluating a model’s predictive capability. This measure, which is straightforward and easy to understand, includes a decision criterion for model rejection. The development of this proposal adopts a Bayesian perspective of inference, elucidating the underlying concepts and outlining the necessary procedures for application. To illustrate its utility, the proposed methodology was applied to real-world data, facilitating an assessment of its practicality in real-world scenarios.pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9071-8512pt_BR
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Brasília, Department of Statisticspt_BR
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Brasília, Department of Statisticspt_BR
dc.description.unidadeInstituto de Ciências Exatas (IE)pt_BR
dc.description.unidadeDepartamento de Estatística (IE EST)pt_BR
dc.description.ppgPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Estatísticapt_BR
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