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dc.contributor.authorPiontekowski, Valderli Jorgept_BR
dc.contributor.authorRibeiro, Fabiana Piontekowskipt_BR
dc.contributor.authorMatricardi, Eraldo Aparecido Trondolipt_BR
dc.contributor.authorLustosa Junior, Ilvan Medeirospt_BR
dc.contributor.authorBussinguer, Angela Pereirapt_BR
dc.contributor.authorGatto, Alcidespt_BR
dc.date.accessioned2020-01-24T10:32:49Z-
dc.date.available2020-01-24T10:32:49Z-
dc.date.issued2019pt_BR
dc.identifier.citationPIONTEKOWSKI, Valderli Jorge et al. Modeling Deforestation in the State of Rondônia. Floresta e Ambiente, v. 26, n. 3, e20180441, 2019. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/2179-8087.044118. Disponível em: http://scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2179-80872019000300144. Acesso em: 23 jan. 2020.pt_BR
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.unb.br/handle/10482/36654-
dc.language.isoenpt_BR
dc.publisherInstituto de Florestas da Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiropt_BR
dc.rightsAcesso Abertopt_BR
dc.titleModeling deforestation in the state of Rondôniapt_BR
dc.typeArtigopt_BR
dc.subject.keywordSolo - usopt_BR
dc.subject.keywordDesmatamento - Rondôniapt_BR
dc.rights.license(CC BY) - Creative Commons License. All the contents of this journal, except where otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License.-
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1590/2179-8087.044118pt_BR
dc.description.abstract1This study applied a deforestation model for the entire State of Rondônia assuming three scenarios of deforestation: business as usual, optimistic and pessimistic. Those scenarios were constructed for the time-period of 2012-2050 using the Dinamica EGO software. Rondônia deforestation dataset was provided by the Agência Ambiental do Estado de Rondônia (Rondônia State Environmental Agency) and was used as input of the deforestation modeling. Based on this study results, we estimated that 32%, 37% and 47% of Rondônia’s native forest could be fully deforested by 2050 assuming the optimistic, business as usual and pessimistic scenarios, respectively. Regardless of the chosen scenario, we expect that deforestation will be spatially concentrated in Northern Rondônia in the next decades. The greatest concern, however, could be the integrity of the protected areas assuming the business as usual and/or pessimistic scenario. In addition, we expect a substantial increase of the forest fragmentation by 2050.-
dc.identifier.orcidhttp://orcid.org/0000-0002-1442-7772-
dc.identifier.orcidhttp://orcid.org/0000-0002-5375-6368-
dc.identifier.orcidhttp://orcid.org/0000-0002-5323-6100-
dc.identifier.orcidhttp://orcid.org/0000-0002-3873-737X-
dc.identifier.orcidhttp://orcid.org/0000-0002-6375-0648-
dc.identifier.orcidhttp://orcid.org/0000-0002-2663-9318-
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